Through six weeks, there have been only six games with a spread of 10 or more points. Week 7 alone has three double-digit lines.
Favorites of 10 or more are 5-1 against the spread (ATS). The Cardinals and L.A. Rams have to cover huge numbers, but they should do it rather easily thanks to extra motivation (more on that later).
Underdogs went 6-8 against the spread (ATS) last week, giving favorites back-to-back wins for the first time. Underdogs still lead, 48-44-2.
My most confident picks ATS this week are Las Vegas, Washington and Tennessee. I also like both underdogs in prime time. There isn’t a "stay away" game, but Panthers-Giants is close.