When baseball season was hardly a month old, I tried to diagnose the severity of bad luck that five hapless hitters had experienced to that point. With more than a third of every regular starter’s outings already in the books for 2016, it’s time to do the same for pitchers.
This week’s edition of Weekly Rotation will use PointAfter visualizations to highlight the five pitchers with the biggest negative differences between their ERA and fielding independent pitching (FIP) this year. FIP indicates what a pitcher’s ERA should be, given a league-average defense, by concentrating on what they directly control: strikeouts, walks, hit by pitches and home runs.
For these five hurlers, perhaps the most effective adjustment they could make is to increase the amount of time they spend praying to the baseball gods. Because for whatever reason, they have been frowned upon by the powers that be thus far.