Crime in Lincoln falls first half of 2008
BY LORI PILGER / Lincoln Journal Star
Lincoln looks to be on track for a record-setting drop in crime in 2008.
Overall for the first six months of the year, crimes reported to police fell by 19 percent.
When adjusted to account for a change last fall in how police take reports of gas station drive-offs, crime still was down 13 percent.
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“A safe city is getting even safer, and we’ve all done this together,” Mayor Chris Beutler said Thursday at a press conference releasing the numbers.
Calling the drop an “enormous success,” he credited Lincoln police for working smarter and Lincoln residents for being their eyes and ears.
He also gave credit to collaborative efforts, like the Stronger Safe Neighborhoods initiative, for addressing the root causes of crime, turning neighborhoods around and protecting families.
“Together we have sent a strong message to criminals. We will fight back and we will be successful,” Beutler said.
Police Chief Tom Casady, who is known to keep a close eye on statistics, usually cautions against taking too much from short-term trends. But, he said, what he’s seen the first six months of 2008 is pretty hard to ignore.
“I’ve never really seen anything like this during my years,” he said.
Since 1985, the greatest drop in crime was 9.6 percent in 1993.
The drop so far in 2008 is twice that. But Casady points out there should be an asterisk next to the 19.4 percent decrease, to account for a change last year that resulted in police taking 400 fewer gas drive-off reports.
(Now police only take those reports if there are vehicle and suspect descriptions.)
Factoring them out, Casady said crime still dropped 13.4 percent.
In the first six months of the year, police took 145 fewer burglary, 1,103 fewer theft, 59 fewer assault and four fewer auto thefts reports than the same time in 2007.
There were two more rapes and 23 more robberies reported than the previous year.
Casady said the robberies, especially, have his attention.
As for the overall trend, he said it would be pretty hard to offset by the end of the year, considering seven months are down and July pretty much followed the trend.
But the reason behind the drop has him scratching his head.
“You’re going to ask me, I’m sure, ‘why.’ And the short answer is ‘not sure,’” he said.
The long answer?
Casady said it’s attributable to a lot of things: good police work, strategic use of police resources, great partnerships with the community and targeted efforts.
And he said many factors other than what police do or don’t do can factor in. Like weather, for instance. Or even gas prices.
But it’s a hard trend to ignore, he said.
It follows a larger trend. Casady said the city’s crime rate has been on the slide since 1991.
“We hope to keep it heading in a good direction through the remainder of 2008,” he said.
Beutler said the city rightly is celebrating success with the numbers. In a time when the city budget is badly constrained, police still were able to make an impact on crime by focusing strategically on the problems, he said.
Beutler said it’s time to reaffirm a commitment to the Stronger Safe Neighborhoods initiative, a block by block approach to solving the problems that contribute to crime.
“We have put the tools into place that we need to succeed,” he said.
Reach Lori Pilger at 473-7237 or lpilger@journalstar.com.

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Biz Robbery wrote on July 31, 2008 10:09 am:
Tom Casady wrote on July 31, 2008 10:34 am:
http://lpd304.blogspot.com/2008/06/robbery-trends.html "
Kent wrote on July 31, 2008 11:04 am:
Hats off to the LPD. "
mitchy_v wrote on July 31, 2008 11:31 am:
Late ODay wrote on July 31, 2008 11:38 am:
Ron wrote on July 31, 2008 11:41 am:
Dak wrote on July 31, 2008 11:47 am:
Hello wrote on July 31, 2008 12:01 pm:
David wrote on July 31, 2008 12:02 pm:
Keep up the good work Team "
Tom Casady wrote on July 31, 2008 12:55 pm:
Violent crime increased in the year after CC was enacted in Nebraska, and the decrease in overall crime started way back in 2001. There is no evidence that concealed carry had anything to do with increases or decreases, and I think it is completely off-base to assert either of those--but if you are going to claim credit for the decrease in the first half of this year, you will have to accept blame for the increase last year. You'll also have to explain why the one crime that is up significantly--robbery--is exactly the one involved in the scenario you describe: "They're not sure who's carrying and who is not". You can't just cherry pick the data when it meets your agenda. "
Outside the Box wrote on July 31, 2008 2:36 pm:
Keep up the good work Chief! "
J wrote on July 31, 2008 2:56 pm:
Rick wrote on July 31, 2008 6:32 pm:
officer wrote on July 31, 2008 7:12 pm:
whatever wrote on July 31, 2008 9:12 pm:
Bigal wrote on August 1, 2008 6:54 am:
with LEGAL concealed carry permits. They would carry any time, and commit
a crime with or without a permit. In fact the person most likely to live this life style would'nt qualify for a permit.
Permit holders are for the very most part LAW ABIDING CITIZENS.
They have passed FBI back ground checks Local police checks and safe weapons course. I am proud to say I qualify to carry and do. "
no data manipulation wrote on August 1, 2008 10:16 am:
I don't think the safer neighborhood stuff in SW Lincoln had much to do with this drop in crime. It hasn't been going on long enough to make a difference yet. I think it will cause crime to go down even more. More than likely the right people have been put in jail and aren't out committing lots of the crimes. It is a known fact that 1% of the criminals commit 80% of the crime. Therefore, if the right 1% are in jail then crime goes down. LPD has been putting the right people in jail. "
Dagny wrote on August 1, 2008 2:32 pm:
Tongue-in-cheek question: Does the lady who had her $2000 car stolen twice last weekend count as 1 auto theft or 2? ha! "